Twelve people form a club. By picking lots, one of them will host a dinner for all once in a month. The number of dinners a particular member has to host in one year is
Correct Answer: Option D
Explanation
1. Identify the Setup: We have 12 club members and a time span of 12 months.\n2. Identify the Mechanism: The host is chosen 'by picking lots'. As established in logical reasoning principles, we must stick strictly to this definition [9]. 'Picking lots' implies a random draw, like pulling a name out of a hat.\n3. Identify the Trap: The numbers (12 and 12) tempt us to say everyone hosts once (Option A). This is a classic 'Numerical Coincidence Trap' [1] designed to test if we confuse randomness with a schedule.\n4. Logical Deduction: Since the selection is random every month, it is possible for the same lucky (or unlucky) person to be picked in January and then again in February. It is also possible for someone to never be picked.\n5. Conclusion: Because the process is random, we cannot say for certain that a member will host exactly 1, 0, or 3 times. The outcome varies. Therefore, the number 'Cannot be predicted'.
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